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Property & Casualty

Loss and pricing models for auto, fire, and liability insurance.

Expected cost changes with exposure, frequency, severity, the deductible, and the insured's own experience. The examples cover auto, fire, liability, credibility, and bonus-malus.

Read the decision, cash flows, assumptions, method, interpretation, and limits as one continuous case.

Actuarial case explained

How do premium and retention change when the deductible changes?

Purpose

Decision informed

Choose how much risk the insured retains without confusing a lower premium with a lower total cost of risk.

Benefits and cash flows

  1. 1Annual premium to the insurer.
  2. 2Deductible paid by the insured on each covered loss.
  3. 3Indemnity subject to coverage and limits.

Assumptions

AssumptionValue / unitSource and status
Base tariffVehicle and zone factorsIllustrative
Representative, non-official tables
DeductiblePercentage of vehicle valueConvention
Example design
CurrencyNominal MXNConvention
Declared unit

Method

Multiplicative rating

Each factor modifies a base rate; the deductible reduces the expected transferred portion.

Prima = Tasa base × Exposición × Factores

Results and interpretation

Premium falls as the deductible rises, but retained loss per event increases.

Applied example

Miguel chooses his deductible

Miguel insures a $420,000 sedan in Mexico City. Choosing the deductible determines which portion of each claim he bears directly and which portion he transfers to the insurer; that decision is reflected in the premium.

Adjust the parameters to observe how the result changes.

5% of the vehicle's value

Annual premium

Actuarial interpretation

A higher deductible removes small claims from the contract and lowers the insurer's expected cost, so the premium decreases. Protection against large losses is unchanged.

Validation and limits

What is checked

  • Monotonicity and factor-boundary tests.
  • Hand-calculated coverage and bonus-malus cases.

What it does not prove

  • Rating tables are not current official AMIS data.
  • Third-party liability uses a documented pedagogical approximation.